NEWPORT NEWS, Va. (WRIC) — Donald Trump has made some headway, but Hillary Clinton still holds a double-digit lead in Virginia, according to a recent poll released Friday by the Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University.
Clinton now leads Trump among likely voters in Virginia 45-33 percent.
Dr. Quentin Kidd, Director of the Wason Center said in a press release that he believes Trump’s chances in the state to be dwindling.
“[Trump’s] reach continues to be no higher than the mid-30s,” Kidd said. “That ceiling is far too low to win, especially as Clinton’s share continues to rise.”
The survey was conducted between October 16 and 19 and included 834 randomly selected Virginia voters.
The poll took place prior to the third presidential debate. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percent.
A gap in party loyalty continues in the state, with 72 percent of Republicans now supporting Trump while 88 percent of Democrats support Clinton.
Independents are now leaning toward Clinton more than ever before, with 44 percent of them supporting her in the recent poll. This compares with the 21 percent of Independents who said in previous polls that they would support Clinton.
The press release attributed the swing at the expense of Libertarian Gary Johnson.
Regionally, Northern Virginia saw little rebound for Trump, while Clinton continued to gain ground in the region; she now leads 57-21 percent. Trump did, however, top 50 percent of the vote in the poll for the first time in the mostly rural South and Southwestern part of the state where he leads Clinton 51-30.
Dr. Rachel Bitecofer, the assistant director of the Wason Center described the importance of Northern Virginia to the state’s electoral vote.
“Clinton’s continued rise in Northern Virginia tells the larger story of political change in Virginia,” Bitecofer said. “Bluer and bluer voters in suburban Washington, and their like in Richmond and Hampton Roads, far outweigh rural voters’ preference for Trump.”
For the entire poll document, check here: latest-virginia-presidential-poll
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