Poll: Clinton’s Virginia lead increases slightly following debate

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump answers a question as Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton listens during the presidential debate at Hofstra University in Hempstead, N.Y., Monday, Sept. 26, 2016. (AP Photo/David Goldman)

NEWPORT NEWS, Va. (WAVY) — Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton received a bump in polling numbers across the board in the wake of last week’s first debate with GOP nominee Donald Trump, according to newly released polling numbers from Christopher Newport University.

The latest poll from CNU’s Wason Center for Public Policy shows Clinton with a 42-35 percent lead over Trump in the full five-candidate ballot.

Poll: Clinton leads Trump by 10 percent in Va. ahead of debate

Clinton also received a 7-percent increase in support from millennial voters. Trump’s numbers among millennials in Virginia were unchanged, according to CNU’s poll.

Support from independent voters shifted from Trump and Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and toward Clinton following the debate. Eighty-eight percent of Democratic voters indicate that they plan to vote for Clinton, a slight increase of one percent.

One of the larger shifts in CNU’s polling was seen among military voters, where Trump currently holds a slim 37-36 percent advantage. By comparison, Trump held a stronger 7-percent over his Democratic rival in the September CNU poll.

Trump, Clinton battle it out in 2016's new social media landscape. (AP file)
Trump, Clinton battle it out in 2016’s new social media landscape. (AP file)

The latest poll from CNU was conducted from Sept. 27-30 among 892 likely Virginia voters, and has a +/- 3.7 percent margin of error.

Dr. Quentin Kidd, director of the Wason Center, said, “Most significant is perhaps her improved support among younger voters, a critical part of the Obama coalition.”

CNU notes that, although overall support for Clinton in the five candidate ballot increased from 39 to 42, support for Trump also   increased from 33 to 35 percent — leading to only a 1 percent bump for Clinton.

“Following what was by most accounts a difficult first debate for Donald Trump, our survey finds significant shifts in support in a key voting group: Independents,” said Dr. Rachel Bitecofer, Assistant Director of the Wason Center. “Although Trump had an 11-point lead among Independents in our September survey, Clinton now leads that group by 6 points.”

Clinton also gained support in CNU’s poll with voters surveyed regionally in Northern Virginia and Hampton Roads.

The Wason Center for Public Policy says it plans to release updated polling numbers tracking Clinton and Trump’s success in Virginia each week leading up to the Nov. 8 election.

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